Notre Dame
W-L: (25-11) PR = 97.1034Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1105 A FDU NE (22- 5, 94.1) 98-52 1109 A Chicago St NE C ( 6-20, 91.1) **-58 1112 A Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 85-58 1115 H Michigan B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 54-93 1121 A USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 61-59 1124 A Ce Michigan MA (17-12, 94.3) 83-51 1204 H Ole Miss SEC (24-12, 97.1) 62-69 1207 A Florida St ACC (11-20, 94.8) 93-58 1211 A Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 97-48 1214 A Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 78-65 1221 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) **-38 1229 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 7-22, 93.0) 94-59 101 H Georgia Tech ACC (14-19, 95.2) 90-95 104 H Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 68-82 108 A Boston Col ACC ( 5-26, 92.9) 94-60 111 A No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 73-50 115 H Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 66-79 119 H Connecticut BE (38- 1, 99.3) 47-85 122 A Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 74-66 125 H Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 58-65 129 H California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 69-80 201 A Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 78-66 205 A Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 80-70 208 H Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 70-81 215 A NC State ACC (21-11, 96.6) 79-67 219 A Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) 78-54 222 A SMU ACC ( 9-21, 93.8) 88-63 226 A Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 72-62 301 A Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 65-62 305 A Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 69-54 306 A NC State ACC (21-11, 96.6) 81-63 307 H Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 63-65 321 A Fairfield MAAC (29- 5, 95.8) 79-60 323 A Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 83-73 327 A Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 67-64 329 H Connecticut BE (38- 1, 99.3) 52-70
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1105 A FDU 98-52 46 3 0.00
1109 A Chicago St **-58 58 6 0.00
1112 A Akron 85-58 27 5 0.00
1115 H Michigan 54-93 -39 -1 -1.07
1121 A USC 61-59 2 0 1.75
1124 A Ce Michigan 83-51 32 3 0.00
1204 H Ole Miss 62-69 -7 0 - -2.04
1207 A Florida St 93-58 35 2 0.00
1211 A Morehead St 97-48 49 3 0.00
1214 A Jam Madison 78-65 13 1 0.55
1221 A Bellarmine **-38 72 6 0.00
1229 A Pittsburgh 94-59 35 4 0.00
101 H Georgia Tech 90-95 -5 2 - -3.95
104 H Duke 68-82 -14 0 -1.52
108 A Boston Col 94-60 34 4 0.00
111 A No Carolina 73-50 23 0 + 2.32
115 H Louisville 66-79 -13 0 -1.59
119 H Connecticut 47-85 -38 -2 0.00
122 A Miami (Fl) 74-66 8 1 0.53
125 H Clemson 58-65 -7 1 - -3.03
129 H California 69-80 -11 1 - -3.20
201 A Stanford 78-66 12 1 0.64
205 A Va Tech 80-70 10 1 1.18
208 H Virginia 70-81 -11 1 - -2.98
215 A NC State 79-67 12 0 1.53
219 A Wake Forest 78-54 24 3 0.00
222 A SMU 88-63 25 3 0.00
226 A Syracuse 72-62 10 1 1.40
301 A Louisville 65-62 3 0 + 2.43
305 A Miami (Fl) 69-54 15 1 0.53
306 A NC State 81-63 18 0 1.53
307 H Duke 63-65 -2 0 -1.52
321 A Fairfield 79-60 19 1 0.70
323 A Ohio St 83-73 10 -1 + 2.83
327 A Vanderbilt 67-64 3 -1 + 2.96
329 H Connecticut 52-70 -18 -2 0.00
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1204 H Ole Miss 62-69 -7 0 - -2.04 101 H Georgia Tech 90-95 -5 2 - -3.95 125 H Clemson 58-65 -7 1 - -3.03 129 H California 69-80 -11 1 - -3.20 208 H Virginia 70-81 -11 1 - -2.98 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 111 A No Carolina 73-50 23 0 + 2.32 301 A Louisville 65-62 3 0 + 2.43 323 A Ohio St 83-73 10 -1 + 2.83 327 A Vanderbilt 67-64 3 -1 + 2.96 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A FDU (22- 5, 94.1) 98-52 -5.81 5.15 0.01 0.84 8.69
3 A Chicago St ( 6-20, 91.1) **-58 -8.82 2.14 0.01 0.84 3.62
3 A Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 85-58 -7.52 3.44 0.01 0.84 5.81
3 H Michigan (27- 7, 98.0) 54-93 -1.86 9.10 -0.01 0.84 -0.79
3 A USC (18-14, 96.8) 61-59 -3.05 7.91 0.01 0.84 13.35
3 A Ce Michigan (17-12, 94.3) 83-51 -5.56 5.40 0.01 0.84 9.13
3 H Ole Miss (24-12, 97.1) 62-69 -2.82 8.14 -0.01 0.84 -1.19
3 A Florida St (11-20, 94.8) 93-58 -5.07 5.89 0.01 0.84 9.94
3 A Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 97-48 -6.18 4.78 0.01 0.84 8.08
3 A Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 78-65 -4.25 6.71 0.01 0.84 11.32
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) **-38 -9.12 1.84 0.01 0.84 3.12
3 A Pittsburgh ( 7-22, 93.0) 94-59 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.84 6.80
3 H Georgia Tech (14-19, 95.2) 90-95 -4.73 6.23 -0.01 0.84 -2.00
3 H Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 68-82 -2.30 8.66 -0.01 0.84 -0.98
3 A Boston Col ( 5-26, 92.9) 94-60 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.84 6.66
3 A No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 73-50 -2.48 8.48 0.01 0.84 14.31
3 H Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 66-79 -2.37 8.59 -0.01 0.84 -1.00
3 H Connecticut (38- 1, 99.3) 47-85 -0.55 10.41 -0.01 0.84 -0.24
3 A Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 74-66 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.84 11.29
3 H Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 58-65 -3.82 7.14 -0.01 0.84 -1.61
3 H California (22-14, 95.9) 69-80 -3.99 6.97 -0.01 0.84 -1.69
3 A Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 78-66 -4.17 6.79 0.01 0.84 11.47
3 A Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 80-70 -3.62 7.34 0.01 0.84 12.39
3 H Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 70-81 -3.77 7.19 -0.01 0.84 -1.59
3 A NC State (21-11, 96.6) 79-67 -3.27 7.69 0.01 0.84 12.98
3 A Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) 78-54 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.84 8.95
3 A SMU ( 9-21, 93.8) 88-63 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.84 8.15
3 A Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 72-62 -3.41 7.55 0.01 0.84 12.75
3 A Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 65-62 -2.37 8.59 0.01 0.84 14.49
3 A Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 69-54 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.84 11.29
3 A NC State (21-11, 96.6) 81-63 -3.27 7.69 0.01 0.84 12.98
3 H Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 63-65 -2.30 8.66 -0.01 0.84 -0.98
3 A Fairfield (29- 5, 95.8) 79-60 -4.11 6.85 0.01 0.84 11.57
3 A Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 83-73 -1.98 8.98 0.01 0.84 15.16
3 A Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 67-64 -1.85 9.11 0.01 0.84 15.38
3 H Connecticut (38- 1, 99.3) 52-70 -0.55 10.41 -0.01 0.84 -0.24
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247.38
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winning pts = 259.6873 losing points = -12.3075
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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